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===== Horizon Scanning =====
How can we get a sense of the big picture in which our core question or issue is embedded? ... uld be important for particular futures? Horizon scanning (aka environmental scanning) can help address such questions in a systematic yet exploratory manne
e future scenarios, alternative pasts or presents can be explored in an immersive situation. They are m... hool and other futures establishments (see Stuart Candy’s [[http://www.scribd.com/doc/68901075/Candy-2010-The-Futures-of-Everyday-Life|The Futures of Everyd... rops or prototypes of technologies and media that can encourage deeper immersion. If the duration and s
ituation, hosting conversations is a craft, which can only be learned through practice and can take many shapes and forms. All that said, there are a few basic forms which can be applied in many of the techniques and methods ... sing, summarising
* Note taking (or harvesting, can be delegated if there is someone else available).
scenario methods. The process is quite simple and can be easily implemented by novice facilitators. Thi... r of change drivers to two critical uncertainties can create tension in participants (but can also work quite well in some situations, when it distills the ... ut what is most important and also most uncertain can illuminate the issue even without creating scenar
o produce exaggerated versions of the present and can therefore shed light on the current situation wit... of a possible future. Our actions in the present can decide which future is more likely to unfold. The... rely produces radical breaks or surprises, but it can uncover what really matters to people and what th... or the outcome of your key question or issue. You can rank them on a scale from 1--10 from least to mos
r question examined in the futuring exercise, but can influence it. Other acronyms might be encountered... ght strategist or (trend) analyst, the [[horizon scanning]] and analysis of trends in STEEP categories can be outsourced to this person or organisation.
W... themselves to do the research and analysis, this can be an excellent way to create a sense of ownershi
e whole fictional universes in which many stories can happen. In futuring, and specifically [[incasting]], worldbuilding can add new dimensions to a scenario, like adding col... nts, maps of places and landscapes. This exercise can take from 15 minutes to months or years, dependin... ist before beginning this exercise. Worldbuilding can be done in a workshop, or it can be a writing and
Appreciative Inquiry ====
<blockquote>No problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness th... reate worlds, that by focusing on the positive we can create futures we hope for. AI was developed by D... that there is something worth persevering for and can help them see glimmers of hope in an otherwise di... tinued (coaching) support is needed. Sometimes it can feel even worse to go through a hopeful process w
==== Improv Exercises ====
Improv exercises can be used to encourage spontaneity, co-creation and 'thi... efined script. Outside the performing arts improv can be used, for example, in team-building, developme... skills, or therapy. In futuring processes improv can be helpful as an ice-breaker, a way to train the ... llaborative storytelling or worldbuilding. Improv can help during phases where a process becomes overly
e more grounded the conversation about the future can be. This technique shares a strong link with '[[w... g backwards into the future]]', an aptitude which can help us avoid unnecessarily reinventing the wheel... nag with this technique is that its very openness can lead to it going on for a long time and involving... e are no formal requirements for this process. It can help to make a visual map of the past and the pre
of knowing (beyond the rational and creative) and can acquire new information about the scenario throug... role playing a specific situation from a scenario can offer valuable insights into the perspectives of ... le playing games).
=== Process ===
Role-playing can range from a simple 5-minute exercise to a deeply... -scale LARPs or ARGs). The process described here can be conducted in a workshop setting and can produc
us on participatory and experiential methods that can be used in unpredictable settings. One of the central concerns is how and why 'futures' can provide useful methods for increasing agency, dev... l when sending probes into these realms. Futuring can be a complex activity involving many facets, or it can be as simple as telling a story that begins with
e which radically transforms the system or significantly destabilises it in such a way that returning t...
Strategies and plans based on preferred futures can turn out to be wishful thinking, yet they are als... people involved. Without them responses to change can only be reactive. However, when held too tightly in times of rapid change, long-term strategies can easily become obsolete or counterproductive, pref
of a possible world, 'day in a life' descriptions can bring this world to life.
=== Process ===
This ... ting or [[closed eye visioning]] exercise, but it can be conducted as a group discussion as well. If ti... es are available, the result of the worldbuilding can include a storyboard, a short video, or a [[prehe... nd them, how does the day begin and end, etc. You can add specific open questions that relate to your s
nected drivers in the world and the futures wheel can help to select most relevant ones. Another benefi... les where different drivers will be discussed.You can choose specific drivers/issues, or discuss a rang... forces (or drivers) in the macro environment that can exert influence on the situation you're examining. This can be done with a factor that is seen either as alre