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  • horizon_scanning (futu…dguide)
  • scanning_and_forecasting

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hosting_conversations
36 Hits, Last modified: 5 years ago
ituation, hosting conversations is a craft, which can only be learned through practice and can take many shapes and forms. All that said, there are a few basic forms which can be applied in many of the techniques and methods ... sing, summarising * Note taking (or harvesting, can be delegated if there is someone else available).
pre-enactment
35 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
e future scenarios, alternative pasts or presents can be explored in an immersive situation. They are m... rops or prototypes of technologies and media that can encourage deeper immersion. If the duration and s... ort [[prehearsal]] (e.g. half an hour to an hour) can be improvised on the spot during a futuring works... inise assumptions and behaviours. The facilitator can function either as an 'external game master' or (
horizon_scanning
23 Hits, Last modified: 5 years ago
===== Horizon Scanning ===== How can we get a sense of the big picture in which our core question or i... es? Horizon scanning (aka environmental scanning) can help address such questions in a systematic yet e... s also a set of specific scanning techniques that can help to focus your futuring research. In horizon ... of change in the world around you. This practice can help you uncover patterns of change over time and
gbn_approach
22 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
scenario methods. The process is quite simple and can be easily implemented by novice facilitators. Thi... r of change drivers to two critical uncertainties can create tension in participants (but can also work quite well in some situations, when it distills the ... ut what is most important and also most uncertain can illuminate the issue even without creating scenar
2x2_uncertainty
13 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
o produce exaggerated versions of the present and can therefore shed light on the current situation wit... of a possible future. Our actions in the present can decide which future is more likely to unfold. The... rely produces radical breaks or surprises, but it can uncover what really matters to people and what th... or the outcome of your key question or issue. You can rank them on a scale from 1--10 from least to mos
worldbuilding
12 Hits, Last modified: 10 years ago
e whole fictional universes in which many stories can happen. In futuring, and specifically [[incasting]], worldbuilding can add new dimensions to a scenario, like adding col... nts, maps of places and landscapes. This exercise can take from 15 minutes to months or years, dependin... ist before beginning this exercise. Worldbuilding can be done in a workshop, or it can be a writing and
appreciative_inquiry
11 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
Appreciative Inquiry ==== <blockquote>No problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness th... reate worlds, that by focusing on the positive we can create futures we hope for. AI was developed by D... that there is something worth persevering for and can help them see glimmers of hope in an otherwise di... tinued (coaching) support is needed. Sometimes it can feel even worse to go through a hopeful process w
improv_exercises
11 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
==== Improv Exercises ==== Improv exercises can be used to encourage spontaneity, co-creation and 'thi... efined script. Outside the performing arts improv can be used, for example, in team-building, developme... skills, or therapy. In futuring processes improv can be helpful as an ice-breaker, a way to train the ... llaborative storytelling or worldbuilding. Improv can help during phases where a process becomes overly
situation_so_far
11 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
e more grounded the conversation about the future can be. This technique shares a strong link with '[[w... g backwards into the future]]', an aptitude which can help us avoid unnecessarily reinventing the wheel... nag with this technique is that its very openness can lead to it going on for a long time and involving... e are no formal requirements for this process. It can help to make a visual map of the past and the pre
steep
11 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
r question examined in the futuring exercise, but can influence it. Other acronyms might be encountered... ning]] and analysis of trends in STEEP categories can be outsourced to this person or organisation. W... themselves to do the research and analysis, this can be an excellent way to create a sense of ownershi... ntent and process before a futuring workshop. You can assist the participants in framing and documentin
role_playing
10 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
of knowing (beyond the rational and creative) and can acquire new information about the scenario throug... role playing a specific situation from a scenario can offer valuable insights into the perspectives of ... le playing games). === Process === Role-playing can range from a simple 5-minute exercise to a deeply... -scale LARPs or ARGs). The process described here can be conducted in a workshop setting and can produc
futurist_fieldguide
10 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
us on participatory and experiential methods that can be used in unpredictable settings. One of the central concerns is how and why 'futures' can provide useful methods for increasing agency, dev... l when sending probes into these realms. Futuring can be a complex activity involving many facets, or it can be as simple as telling a story that begins with
day_in_the_life
9 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
of a possible world, 'day in a life' descriptions can bring this world to life. === Process === This ... ting or [[closed eye visioning]] exercise, but it can be conducted as a group discussion as well. If ti... es are available, the result of the worldbuilding can include a storyboard, a short video, or a [[prehe... nd them, how does the day begin and end, etc. You can add specific open questions that relate to your s
newspaper
9 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
rs, postcards, (maga)zines, blogs and advertising can frame the exercise in a familiar language of head... s how to design a newspaper, but the same process can be applied for other media formats as well - maga... ger, you should have several breakout groups. You can use the same pool of images for all groups, but e... scenarios have been made beforehand, then images can be directly related to the scenarios. Or if you p
visionary_adaptation
9 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
Strategies and plans based on preferred futures can turn out to be wishful thinking, yet they are als... people involved. Without them responses to change can only be reactive. However, when held too tightly in times of rapid change, long-term strategies can easily become obsolete or counterproductive, pref... re usually immediate, non-systemic solutions. How can we keep preferred futures alive, while at the sam
mindful_presence
8 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
moodboards
8 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
adaptive_action_cycle
7 Hits, Last modified: 6 years ago
appreciative_inquiry_interviews
7 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
key_factors
7 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
physical_narrative
7 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
futures_wheel
6 Hits, Last modified: 12 months ago
growth_model
6 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
world_cafe
6 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
closed_eye_visioning
5 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
dynamic_modelling_data_analysis_and_human_judgement
5 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
hosting
5 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
spes_give
5 Hits, Last modified: 10 years ago
visualising_and_prototyping
5 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
constellations
4 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
kpuu_framework
4 Hits, Last modified: 5 years ago
mind_map
4 Hits, Last modified: 9 months ago
prehearsal
4 Hits, Last modified: 8 years ago
scanning_and_forecasting
4 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
six_memos
4 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
sociometry
4 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
affinity_map
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
experience_prototyping
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
four_generic_futures
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
guerilla_futures
3 Hits, Last modified: 7 years ago
incasting
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
inhabiting_uncertainty
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
making_it_inter_personal
3 Hits, Last modified: 8 years ago
nomic
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
reflecting_and_anticipating
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
stakeholder_mapping
3 Hits, Last modified: 6 years ago
stochastic_futures
3 Hits, Last modified: 8 years ago
techniques
3 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
backstory
2 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
causal_layered_analysis
2 Hits, Last modified: 5 years ago
diary
2 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
discovering_alternatives
2 Hits, Last modified: 15 months ago
improvisation
2 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
observing_and_mapping
2 Hits, Last modified: 6 years ago
retrocasting
2 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
antifragility
1 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
experiencing_and_rehearsing
1 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
future_mundane
1 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
methods
1 Hits, Last modified: 8 years ago
mindfulness
1 Hits, Last modified: 11 years ago
speculation_and_visioning
1 Hits, Last modified: 8 years ago
uncovering_causality
1 Hits, Last modified: 2 years ago
walking_backwards_into_the_future
1 Hits, Last modified: 6 years ago

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